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Monday, 9 July 2018

Hyperbitcoinization: $100mil Per Coin by 2030


Daniel Krawisz doesn’t immediately grab first-time observers as a leading cryptocurrency philosopher. Mouse-colored, little Dutch boy hair, which he’ll at times flip in unintended punctuation during talks, and his generally casual demeanor could cause audience members to wonder aloud why a random stranger has taken the dais.

Mr. Krawisz doesn’t ever cite his academic credentials. He is absolutely devoid of appeals to authority, credentialism, and officialdom. He can often be heard challenging listeners to not believe him. Crypto fame of a kind came his way around Spring of 2014. As co-founder of the Satoshi Nakamoto Institute, his articles took on new meaning during bitcoin’s run up and up and up through 2017.

Hyperbitcoinization is his most enduring effort from that time, and he can be credited with the concept and neologism. “Bitcoin-induced currency demonetization, or hyperbitcoinization” is what would occur should “any hapless currency” stand “in bitcoin’s path of total world domination. If this happens, the currency will rapidly lose value as bitcoin supplants it,” he stressed. Years later, the topic has returned in some circles.

The piece is less braggadocio and more nuanced than proponents are prone to mention, but it does speak to a time in bitcoin core (BTC) history when community optimism reigned. The current store of value talk and digital gold hodl maximalism is somewhat revisionist, which more honest BTC enthusiasts concede. The discussion then was mostly about merchant adoption, medium of exchange qualities, and prospects of freeing emerging economies from legacy remittance arrangements. These attributes are no longer highlighted by BTCers.

Recently, Hyperbitcoinization: Winner Takes All (or how Bitcoin gets to $100,000,000) was posted by Coin Monks. Pseudo-anonymous author Obiwankenobit lays out Mr. Krawisz’s case anew. In a longer, mathy, graphic-filled essay, he builds the case for a hyper-hyper-hyperbitcoinization even the most optimistic BTC true believers might have trouble getting behind. Everett Roger, Laszlo Hanyecz, Friedrich Hayek, Austrian economics, S-curves, Andreas Antonopoulos, Daniel Krawisz, Satoshi Nakamoto combine to build the basic argument.

As bitcoin is accepted more around the world (and “acceptance” isn’t well defined), “the cost of rejecting bitcoin will exceed the cost of adopting it. Bitcoin will begin to assume money’s traditional roles and gain institutional and government support. It will become all money and form the backbone of a new global economy,” Obiwankenobit explains, describing the “tipping point.” 

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